Insider Intelligence's inaugural US retail and ecommerce returns forecasts show how 2022 marked a turning point for ecommerce return volumes. After two years of outsized growth, ecommerce returns dipped by 2.5% year over year per Insider Intelligence's estimates, and they now expect ecommerce return rates to approach pre-pandemic levels by 2026. But the 2022 holiday season broke with that trend and is likely to be repeated in 2023 as uncertain economic conditions persist.